Saturday, December 29, 2007
Tuesday, December 25, 2007
Saturday, December 22, 2007
Busted, again
The Sweet Tooth Bandit strikes again. This time we found her alone in the kitchen, where she pulled to the floor a plate of Christmas cookies that the neighbors had just delivered. Here she is, helping herself to the spoils:
It's not like she can see up to the shelf to know there's a plate of cookies there. She is clearly smarter than she looks.
Oh how we love that little girl.
It's not like she can see up to the shelf to know there's a plate of cookies there. She is clearly smarter than she looks.
Oh how we love that little girl.
Black Swans
I just got done reading a wonderful book called "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable" by Nassim Taleb. The author, an investor by trade, defines "black swans" as events that are unpredictable, that carry a massive impact, and for which we concoct an explanation after the fact that makes the events appear less random than they actually were.
The author believes that history is driven by these types of events--that we see the output of history but have little understanding of the mechanisms behind it (although we try to convince ourselves otherwise).
In a nutshell, his conclusion is that the future is impossible to predict. Knowing this helps us spend our time more wisely, and helps us position ourselves to benefit from "black swans". (He actually suggests turning off the TV, putting down the newspaper, and ignoring blogs, because they are not as relevant to events around us as we think.)
This is my favorite quote in the book:
The author believes that history is driven by these types of events--that we see the output of history but have little understanding of the mechanisms behind it (although we try to convince ourselves otherwise).
In a nutshell, his conclusion is that the future is impossible to predict. Knowing this helps us spend our time more wisely, and helps us position ourselves to benefit from "black swans". (He actually suggests turning off the TV, putting down the newspaper, and ignoring blogs, because they are not as relevant to events around us as we think.)
This is my favorite quote in the book:
Seize any opportunity, or anything that looks like opportunity. They are rare, much rarer than you think. Remember that positive Black Swans have a necessary first step: you need to be exposed to them. Many people do not realize that they are getting a lucky break in life when they get it. If a big publisher (or a big art dealer or a movie executive or a hotshot banker or a big thinker) suggests an appointment, cancel anything you have planned: you may never see such a window open up again. I am sometimes shocked at how little people realize that these opportunities do not grow on trees. Collect as many free nonlottery tickets (those with open-ended payoffs) as you can, and, once they start paying off, do not discard them. Work hard, not in grunt work, but in chasing such opportunities and maximizing exposure to them.
Sunday, December 16, 2007
Hot chocolate mustache
Ethan's Theory on Music
This was prompted by the Christmas music that is playing in our house all the time lately ("church music" according to Ethan):
"I hate church music. It's too gentle. I like music that is loud and has drums and action. Church music just has pianos and violins, and no action."
He is indeed a man of action, if not refined tastes.
"I hate church music. It's too gentle. I like music that is loud and has drums and action. Church music just has pianos and violins, and no action."
He is indeed a man of action, if not refined tastes.
Wednesday, December 12, 2007
Google Maps Street View
Google Maps added our town to Street View today. I'm not sure how I feel about that, but it is fun to cruise around. If you type in our address, you'll notice that our neighbors were photographed inadvertently in their driveways. The kids next door look like they were hoping the camera car was an ice cream truck.
I laughed when I saw our neighbors' German Shepherd in their driveway, standing at attention and staring at our house, patiently waiting to tear us to pieces at the first available moment.
A day in the life.
I laughed when I saw our neighbors' German Shepherd in their driveway, standing at attention and staring at our house, patiently waiting to tear us to pieces at the first available moment.
A day in the life.
Tuesday, December 11, 2007
Performance Day
On Saturday, two of Ginger's choirs performed in public for the first time. Her group of elementary school girls sang at a nursing home, and the group of singers from church that she directs sang at the Arts Garden Downtown. We didn't see the girls perform at the nursing home, but we went downtown to watch Ginger conduct the church group. They sounded AMAZING.
Here's a photo of Ginger conducting:
Here's a photo of Ginger conducting:
Hershey's Kisses for eyes
Saturday, December 08, 2007
It's been a snowy week
Sunday, December 02, 2007
Jingle Bell ROCK
Emma's birthday party
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